Rumors About Stroke And Crisis Of Regime

Can Lukashenka be considered a loser?

Has the ruler brought Belarus to a dead end? What will happen after he leaves?

This is what political scientist Valeryj Karbalevich discusses in the program "Prague Accent" on Radio Svaboda:

- The dead end, in which Lukashenka's system has found itself, means a crisis. The system cannot develop within the existing frames. We can compare it with Moldova, Zimbabwe or Venezuela, but we can also compare it with Poland.

The rates of economic growth are lower than in the world, the country cannot reach the average salary level of $500 for 10 years. The country is drug dependent on Russian subsidies.

Psychologically, the majority of the society feels the deadlock, which results in mass labor emigration. The process of transformation has its disadvantages. There has been no transformation in Belarus, so there have been no its disadvantages.

The rumors about the stroke are a test: how will it work without Lukashenka?

There is a common feature of personalized authoritarian regimes - the resignation of the leader is always a crisis. The example of Kazakhstan is before our eyes - a very smooth change of power, and the change in general.

But even such a change has caused a crisis. About 1000 people were arrested there during the protests after the presidential elections...

I'm not talking about the collapse in Venezuela after Chavez's death. There will undoubtedly be a crisis after Lukashenka's resignation.